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BAD 84011
Systems Simulation, Fall 2010
Lecture W 10:15 - 12:15, BSA A404
Instructor Murali Shanker, A401 BSA
Phone: 330 672-1165
E-mail: mshanker@kent.edu
Materials:
- Course notes at your Vista site.
- (Optional) Law and Kelton, Simulation Modeling and Analysis, 3rd Edition, 2000. McGraw-Hill, Inc. ISBN 0-07-059292-6
- (Required) Kelton, Sadowski and Swets, Simulation With Arena, 5th Edition, 2010. McGraw-Hill, Inc. ISBN 978-0-07-337628-8
Course Objectives: Study the techniques and applications of computer simulation of existing or proposed real-world facilities and processes. The models of such facilities are often quite complex, precluding the use of more traditional analytical techniques. Specifically, students will learn to do simulations in a simulation language, to plan simulation studies, as well as analyze and interpret the result of simulations. Additional topics include selecting input probability distributions, random number generators, generating random variables, statistical analysis of simulation output, and variance reduction techniques.
Prerequisites: Graduate Standing
Students who have not successfully completed the course prerequisites must withdraw from this class. You risk deregistration otherwise.
Grading
Individual assignments (about 6) 50%
Individual Project/Paper 50%
Individual assignments will consist of problems, modeling assignments, and summaries of research papers. All assignments and project must be done individually.
The computer work will be most conveniently done on computers running Windows.
The project will be a complete simulation study of your choosing.
Last day to withdraw: 7 November 2010
Course Schedule:
| Topic |
Approximate Number Of Weeks |
Readings |
| Introduction to Simulation |
0.5 |
Chap 1 (SWA) |
| Fundamental Simulation Concepts |
0.5 |
Chap 2 (SWA) |
| A Guided Tour Through ARENA |
0.5
|
Chap 3 (SWA) |
| Modeling Basic Operations and Inputs |
1.0 |
Chap 4 (SWA) |
Agent-Based Simulation and Netlogo
|
2.0
|
|
| Modeling Detailed Operations |
1.0 |
Chap 5 (SWA) |
Netlogo (continued)
|
2.0
|
|
| Statistical Analysis of Output from Terminating Simulations |
0.5 |
Chap 6 (SWA) |
| Intermediate Modeling and Steady-State Analysis |
1.0 |
Chap 7(SWA) |
| Entity Transfer and Other Issues |
1.0 |
Chap 8 and 9 (SWA) |
| Further Statistical Issues |
1.0 |
Chap 12 (SWA) |
Project Information: The individual project must be a complete simulation study of a real system of your choosing. This includes:
- Defining the system to be simulated and stating the purpose of the study.
- Collecting data on the system and use it to determine probability distributions and other parameters. Experience indicates that data collection can be a very difficult and time-consuming part of a study. For the purpose of this project, don't be concerned about getting a large sample size., Just collect enough data to define the model, with the knowledge that if you were being paid to do this (rather than paying to do it) you would get more data.
- Coding and verifying the model.
- Exercising the model to evaluate the system as it is, and at least one alternative configuration or operating policy, with an eye toward improvement. Pay attention to the statistical validity of your results. That is, do some sort of statistical analysis of the simulation output.
- Your final report should be written in the same vein as a research paper. As part of your paper, describe what you did, and what your results and recommendations are. Include code and output as an appendix. Write the paper for someone who is familiar with the system, and with basic probability and statistics, but who does not know (or care) anything about how simulations are done. Provide appropriate background on your problem, and references to support your conclusions.
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